Jalan Besar Stadium · Referee R. Lutfullin · Analysis updated 08:21 UTC
Singapore vs China Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.20 expected goals for Singapore and 1.30 for China, a combined total of 2.50. That distribution gives China the largest share of the 1X2 market at 39%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 46% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 39% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
65.7% probability
Expected goals
1.20 – 1.30
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Singapore home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
China away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates China to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 39%, against 34% / 27% / 39% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.20 goals for Singapore and 1.30 for China, a combined 2.50 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
61%
Double chance 12
73%
Double chance X2
66%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.8%
- 0–110.6%
- 1–09.9%
- 1–28.3%
- 0–08.2%
Recent form
Singapore
- 2026-10-01T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Malaysia · 0-6 (L)
- 2026-09-28T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Bangladesh · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-25T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Indonesia · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-18T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Thailand · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-15T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Thailand · 1-3 (L)
China
- 2026-09-27T11:35:00.000Z · H vs New Zealand · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-24T11:35:00.000Z · H vs Maldives · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-06-09T11:35:00.000Z · H vs Thailand · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-06-05T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Singapore · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-03-31T06:00:00.000Z · H vs Cameroon · 0-2 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-06-05T11:30:00.000Z · Singapore 1-2 China (Friendlies)
- 2024-03-26T12:00:00.000Z · Singapore 1-4 China (World Cup - Qualification Asia)
- 2024-03-21T12:30:00.000Z · Singapore 2-2 China (World Cup - Qualification Asia)
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 65.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 46%.
A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.