Australia · NNSW League 1 · Matchweek 1804:00

2 – 4

Saturday, 15 August 2026

· Analysis updated 18:10 UTC

Singleton Strikers vs Dudley Redhead United Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.63 expected goals for Singleton Strikers and 1.62 for Dudley Redhead United, a combined total of 3.25. That distribution gives Singleton Strikers the largest share of the 1X2 market at 38%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 63% for over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 38% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

61.6% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.63 – 1.62

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Singleton Strikers home form

    6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Singleton Strikers to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 38%, against 38% / 23% / 38% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.63 goals for Singleton Strikers and 1.62 for Dudley Redhead United, a combined 3.25 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 63% and both teams to score at 65%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.

Match result (1X2)

Singleton Strikers win38%
Draw23%
Dudley Redhead United win38%

Double chance 1X

62%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

62%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals84%
Over 2.5 goals63%
Over 3.5 goals41%
Both teams to score65%

Correct score

  • 1–110.2%
  • 2–18.3%
  • 1–28.3%
  • 2–26.8%
  • 1–06.3%

Recent form

Singleton Strikers

  • 2026-08-15T04:00:00.000Z · H vs Dudley Redhead United · 2-4 (L)
  • 2026-08-08T04:00:00.000Z · H vs Toronto Awaba Stags · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-01T04:00:00.000Z · A vs Lake Macquarie · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-07-25T06:30:00.000Z · A vs Newcastle Croatia FC · 2-5 (L)
  • 2026-07-11T04:00:00.000Z · H vs South Cardiff · 1-0 (W)

Dudley Redhead United

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    NNSW League 1 table

    Full league page →

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 61.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

    It puts both teams scoring at 65% and over 2.5 goals at 63%.

    A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.