Australia · NNSW League 1 · Matchweek 1104:30

0 – 8

Saturday, 13 June 2026

New LambtonLWWLW

· Analysis updated 00:12 UTC

Singleton Strikers vs New Lambton Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.03 expected goals for Singleton Strikers and 1.49 for New Lambton, a combined total of 2.51. That distribution gives New Lambton the largest share of the 1X2 market at 48%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 46% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 48% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

New Lambton win

47.9% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.03 – 1.49

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Singleton Strikers home form

    6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • New Lambton away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates New Lambton to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 48%, against 26% / 26% / 48% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.03 goals for Singleton Strikers and 1.49 for New Lambton, a combined 2.51 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Singleton Strikers win26%
Draw26%
New Lambton win48%

Double chance 1X

52%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

74%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals72%
Over 2.5 goals46%
Over 3.5 goals25%
Both teams to score50%

Correct score

  • 1–112.4%
  • 0–112.0%
  • 1–29.2%
  • 0–29.0%
  • 1–08.3%

Recent form

Singleton Strikers

  • 2026-08-15T04:00:00.000Z · H vs Dudley Redhead United · 2-4 (L)
  • 2026-08-08T04:00:00.000Z · H vs Toronto Awaba Stags · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-01T04:00:00.000Z · A vs Lake Macquarie · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-07-25T06:30:00.000Z · A vs Newcastle Croatia FC · 2-5 (L)
  • 2026-07-11T04:00:00.000Z · H vs South Cardiff · 1-0 (W)

New Lambton

  • 2026-08-29T04:00:00.000Z · A vs Kahibah · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-08-22T06:00:00.000Z · H vs Kahibah · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-15T04:00:00.000Z · H vs Cessnock City Hornets · 4-3 (W)
  • 2026-08-08T06:30:00.000Z · A vs Dudley Redhead United · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-08-01T05:00:00.000Z · A vs West Wallsend · 2-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

NNSW League 1 table

Full league page →

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is New Lambton win, at 47.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 46%.

A 48% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.