Australia · NNSW League 1 · Matchweek 1404:00

1 – 0

Saturday, 11 July 2026

· Analysis updated 01:37 UTC

Singleton Strikers vs South Cardiff Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.45 expected goals for Singleton Strikers and 2.15 for South Cardiff, a combined total of 3.60. That distribution gives South Cardiff the largest share of the 1X2 market at 54%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 70% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 54% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

South Cardiff win

53.6% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.45 – 2.15

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Singleton Strikers home form

    6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • South Cardiff away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates South Cardiff to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 54%, against 26% / 21% / 54% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.45 goals for Singleton Strikers and 2.15 for South Cardiff, a combined 3.60 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Singleton Strikers win26%
Draw21%
South Cardiff win54%

Double chance 1X

46%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

74%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals87%
Over 2.5 goals70%
Over 3.5 goals48%
Both teams to score68%

Correct score

  • 1–29.2%
  • 1–18.5%
  • 2–26.6%
  • 1–36.6%
  • 0–26.3%

Recent form

Singleton Strikers

  • 2026-08-15T04:00:00.000Z · H vs Dudley Redhead United · 2-4 (L)
  • 2026-08-08T04:00:00.000Z · H vs Toronto Awaba Stags · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-01T04:00:00.000Z · A vs Lake Macquarie · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-07-25T06:30:00.000Z · A vs Newcastle Croatia FC · 2-5 (L)
  • 2026-07-11T04:00:00.000Z · H vs South Cardiff · 1-0 (W)

South Cardiff

  • 2026-08-15T04:00:00.000Z · A vs West Wallsend · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-08-09T05:00:00.000Z · A vs Lake Macquarie · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-08-02T04:00:00.000Z · H vs Wallsend Red Devils · 1-4 (L)
  • 2026-07-26T03:00:00.000Z · H vs Dudley Redhead United · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-07-11T04:00:00.000Z · A vs Singleton Strikers · 0-1 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

NNSW League 1 table

Full league page →

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is South Cardiff win, at 53.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 68% and over 2.5 goals at 70%.

A 54% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.