· Analysis updated 13:39 UTC
Sion II vs Meyrin Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.20 expected goals for Sion II and 0.95 for Meyrin, a combined total of 2.15. That distribution gives Sion II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 29%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 36% for over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Home/Draw
70.9% probability
Expected goals
1.20 – 0.95
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Sion II home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Meyrin away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Sion II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 42% / 29% / 29% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.20 goals for Sion II and 0.95 for Meyrin, a combined 2.15 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
71%
Double chance 12
71%
Double chance X2
58%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–014.0%
- 1–113.3%
- 0–011.6%
- 0–111.1%
- 2–08.4%
Recent form
Sion II
- 2026-10-04T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Coffrane · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-26T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Stade Payerne · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-19T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Chênois · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Servette II · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-05T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Vevey Sports · 2-1 (W)
Meyrin
- 2026-10-03T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Echallens · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-26T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Naters · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-19T15:00:00.000Z · A vs La Chaux-de-Fonds · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-12T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Monthey · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-06T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Coffrane · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
1. Liga Classic - Group 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Azzurri | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 24 |
| 2 | Prishtina Bern | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 23 |
| 3 | Servette II | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 19 |
| 4 | Lausanne Sport II | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | Sion II | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16 |
| 6 | Portalban / Gletterens | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 |
| 7 | Monthey | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 14 |
| 8 | Naters | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 14 |
| 9 | Lancy | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 13 |
| 10 | Chênois | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 | Echallens | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 12 |
| 12 | Meyrin | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11 |
| 13 | Stade Payerne | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -7 | 10 |
| 14 | La Chaux-de-Fonds | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -17 | 10 |
| 15 | Coffrane | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -4 | 7 |
| 16 | Vevey Sports | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | -13 | 4 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 70.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 43% and over 2.5 goals at 36%.
A 71% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.