Sion II vs Portalban / Gletterens Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.32 expected goals for Sion II and 1.28 for Portalban / Gletterens, a combined total of 2.60. That distribution gives Sion II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 38%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 48% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 38% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

64.2% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.32 – 1.28

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Sion II home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Sion II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 38%, against 38% / 26% / 36% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.32 goals for Sion II and 1.28 for Portalban / Gletterens, a combined 2.60 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 48% and both teams to score at 53%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%.

Match result (1X2)

Sion II win38%

Draw26%

Portalban / Gletterens win36%

Double chance 1X

64%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

62%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals73%

Over 2.5 goals48%

Over 3.5 goals26%

Both teams to score53%

Correct score

1–112.6%
1–09.8%
0–19.5%
2–18.3%
1–28.0%

Recent form

Sion II

2026-10-04T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Coffrane · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-26T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Stade Payerne · 2-0 (W)
2026-09-19T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Chênois · 0-2 (L)
2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Servette II · 0-0 (D)
2026-09-05T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Vevey Sports · 2-1 (W)

Portalban / Gletterens

2026-10-09T18:15:00.000Z · H vs Coffrane · 3-2 (W)
2026-10-03T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Stade Payerne · 3-0 (W)
2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Chênois · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-16T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Servette II · 1-2 (L)
2026-09-11T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Vevey Sports · 4-1 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

1. Liga Classic - Group 1 table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Azzurri Bienne	11	9	0	2	16	27
2	Prishtina Bern	11	8	2	1	22	26
3	Servette II	11	6	4	1	3	22
4	Lausanne Sport II	11	4	5	2	7	17
5	Naters	11	5	2	4	-6	17
6	Sion II	11	4	4	3	1	16
7	Portalban / Gletterens	10	4	2	4	5	14
8	Monthey	10	3	5	2	2	14
9	Chênois	11	4	2	5	-1	14
10	Lancy	11	4	1	6	-2	13
11	La Chaux-de-Fonds	11	4	1	6	-15	13
12	Echallens	11	3	3	5	-10	12
13	Meyrin	11	3	2	6	2	11
14	Stade Payerne	11	3	2	6	-7	11
15	Coffrane	10	1	4	5	-4	7
16	Vevey Sports	10	1	1	8	-13	4

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 64.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 48%.

A 64% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.