Sisaket United vs Chonburi FC Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.03 expected goals for Sisaket United and 0.92 for Chonburi FC, a combined total of 1.95. That distribution gives Sisaket United the largest share of the 1X2 market at 37%, with the draw at 31%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 31% for over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 15%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 37% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

68.3% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.03 – 0.92

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Sisaket United home form
7 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Sisaket United to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 37%, against 37% / 31% / 32% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.03 goals for Sisaket United and 0.92 for Chonburi FC, a combined 1.95 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 31% and both teams to score at 39%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 15%.

Match result (1X2)

Sisaket United win37%

Draw31%

Chonburi FC win32%

Double chance 1X

68%

Double chance 12

69%

Double chance X2

63%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals58%

Over 2.5 goals31%

Over 3.5 goals13%

Both teams to score39%

Correct score

1–014.6%
0–014.2%
1–113.5%
0–113.2%
2–07.5%

Recent form

Sisaket United

2026-10-24T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Buriram United · 3-2 (W)
2026-10-21T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Dome · 7-0 (W)
2026-10-18T11:00:00.000Z · H vs BG Pathum United · 1-1 (D)
2026-10-11T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Chonburi FC · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Chiangrai United · 1-0 (W)

Chonburi FC

2026-09-20T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Buriram United · 0-1 (L)
2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Rayong FC · 2-3 (L)
2026-09-05T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Chiangrai United · 0-1 (L)
2026-05-10T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC · 2-1 (W)
2026-05-02T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Kanchanaburi · 2-2 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Thai League 1 table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Port FC	6	5	0	1	7	15
2	Buriram United	6	4	1	1	4	13
3	Prachuap	5	4	0	1	5	12
4	Ratchaburi	6	3	1	2	6	10
5	Uthai Thani	5	3	1	1	5	10
6	Sisaket United	6	3	1	2	0	10
7	BG Pathum United	6	2	3	1	2	9
8	Bangkok United	5	3	0	2	2	9
9	Rayong FC	6	2	2	2	-2	8
10	Ayutthaya FC	5	2	1	2	-1	7
11	Sukhothai FC	5	2	0	3	-4	6
12	Lamphun Warrior	5	1	1	3	-4	4
13	Chiangrai United	6	1	1	4	-4	4
14	Pattani	5	1	1	3	-4	4
15	Chonburi FC	6	1	0	5	-4	3
16	Rasi Salai United	5	0	1	4	-8	1

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 68.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 39% and over 2.5 goals at 31%.

A 68% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.