Sri Nakhon Lamduan Stadium · Analysis updated 15:27 UTC
Sisaket United vs Ratchaburi Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.98 expected goals for Sisaket United and 1.08 for Ratchaburi, a combined total of 2.05. That distribution gives Ratchaburi the largest share of the 1X2 market at 37%, with the draw at 30%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 34% for over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 37% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Draw/Away
67.7% probability
Expected goals
0.98 – 1.08
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Sisaket United home form
6 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.
Ratchaburi away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 7 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Ratchaburi to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 37%, against 32% / 30% / 37% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.98 goals for Sisaket United and 1.08 for Ratchaburi, a combined 2.05 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
63%
Double chance 12
70%
Double chance X2
68%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–113.8%
- 1–113.5%
- 0–012.9%
- 1–012.6%
- 0–27.4%
Recent form
Sisaket United
- 2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Chiangrai United · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Ayutthaya FC · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-05T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Bangkok United · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-04-25T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Songkhla · 5-1 (W)
- 2026-04-19T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Esan Pattaya · 3-3 (D)
Ratchaburi
- 2026-09-20T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Rayong FC · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-15T10:00:00.000Z · H vs SHANGHAI SIPG · 4-6 (L)
- 2026-09-11T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Bangkok United · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-06T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Ayutthaya FC · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-05-10T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Kanchanaburi · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Thai League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buriram United | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | Prachuap | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 |
| 3 | Port FC | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 |
| 4 | Ratchaburi | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 10 |
| 5 | Uthai Thani | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 |
| 6 | Bangkok United | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 |
| 7 | Rayong FC | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 |
| 8 | Ayutthaya FC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| 9 | Sisaket United | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | BG Pathum United | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 | Sukhothai FC | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 12 | Chiangrai United | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 | Lamphun Warrior | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 14 | Pattani | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 | Rasi Salai United | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -8 | 1 |
| 16 | Chonburi FC | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 67.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 41% and over 2.5 goals at 34%.
A 68% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.