OmaSp Stadion · Analysis updated 19:31 UTC
SJK Akatemia vs PK-35 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.60 expected goals for SJK Akatemia and 1.35 for PK-35, a combined total of 1.95. That distribution gives PK-35 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 55%, with the draw at 28%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 31% for over 2.5 goals and 33% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 19%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 55% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
PK-35 win
55.1% probability
Expected goals
0.60 – 1.35
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
SJK Akatemia home form
3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
PK-35 away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates PK-35 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 55%, against 17% / 28% / 55% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.60 goals for SJK Akatemia and 1.35 for PK-35, a combined 1.95 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
45%
Double chance 12
72%
Double chance X2
83%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–119.2%
- 0–014.2%
- 0–213.0%
- 1–111.5%
- 1–08.5%
Recent form
SJK Akatemia
- 2026-10-17T13:00:00.000Z · A vs PK-35 · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-10-11T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Kooteepee · 4-3 (W)
- 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · A vs EIF · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-19T15:00:00.000Z · H vs KäPa · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · A vs MP · 1-1 (D)
PK-35
- 2026-10-09T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Haka · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · A vs JIPPO · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Kooteepee · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-11T16:00:00.000Z · A vs KäPa · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-04T16:00:00.000Z · H vs EIF · 0-0 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Ykkösliiga table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is PK-35 win, at 55.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 33% and over 2.5 goals at 31%.
A 55% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.