· Analysis updated 14:34 UTC
SK Beveren vs FC Eindhoven Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.35 expected goals for SK Beveren and 2.05 for FC Eindhoven, a combined total of 4.40. That distribution gives SK Beveren the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 81% for over 2.5 goals and 79% for both teams to score, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
SK Beveren win
45.8% probability
Expected goals
2.35 – 2.05
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
SK Beveren home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
FC Eindhoven away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 8 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates SK Beveren to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 46%, against 46% / 20% / 35% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.35 goals for SK Beveren and 2.05 for FC Eindhoven, a combined 4.40 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
65%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
54%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–27.1%
- 2–16.9%
- 1–26.1%
- 1–15.9%
- 3–25.6%
Recent form
SK Beveren
- 2026-10-09T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Lommel United · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-20T17:15:00.000Z · A vs Kortrijk · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · H vs St. Truiden · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-06T17:15:00.000Z · H vs OH Leuven · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-08-28T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Genk · 0-4 (L)
FC Eindhoven
- 2026-08-21T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Den Bosch · 2-5 (L)
- 2026-08-14T18:00:00.000Z · H vs MVV · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-08-10T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Jong AZ · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-01T14:00:00.000Z · A vs SK Beveren · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-07-28T18:00:00.000Z · A vs PSV Eindhoven · 0-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is SK Beveren win, at 45.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 79% and over 2.5 goals at 81%.
A 46% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.