Czech-Republic · Cup · 1/128-finals15:00

2 – 1

Sunday, 26 July 2026

ZnojmoLWLLD

Krumvir - trava · Analysis updated 16:36 UTC

SK Krumvir vs Znojmo Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for SK Krumvir and 1.53 for Znojmo, a combined total of 3.01. That distribution gives Znojmo the largest share of the 1X2 market at 39%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 58% for over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 39% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

63.1% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.53

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • SK Krumvir home form

    13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Znojmo away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Znojmo to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 39%, against 37% / 24% / 39% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.48 goals for SK Krumvir and 1.53 for Znojmo, a combined 3.01 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

SK Krumvir win37%
Draw24%
Znojmo win39%

Double chance 1X

61%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

63%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals80%
Over 2.5 goals58%
Over 3.5 goals36%
Both teams to score61%

Correct score

  • 1–111.2%
  • 1–28.5%
  • 2–18.3%
  • 0–17.5%
  • 1–07.3%

Recent form

SK Krumvir

  • 2026-10-17T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Kozlovice · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-10T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Šternberk · 3-4 (L)
  • 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Hluk · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Strání · 0-5 (L)
  • 2026-09-19T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Břeclav · 1-0 (W)

Znojmo

  • 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Humpolec · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Velká Bíteš · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Chotebor · 2-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-13T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Žďár nad Sázavou · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · A vs FS Třebíč · 6-1 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 63.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.

A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.