Allianz Stadion · Analysis updated 09:37 UTC
SK Rapid W vs First Vienna W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.64 expected goals for SK Rapid W and 1.49 for First Vienna W, a combined total of 3.13. That distribution gives SK Rapid W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 61% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
65.1% probability
Expected goals
1.64 – 1.49
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
SK Rapid W home form
4 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
First Vienna W away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates SK Rapid W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 41% / 24% / 35% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.64 goals for SK Rapid W and 1.49 for First Vienna W, a combined 3.13 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
65%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
59%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.7%
- 2–18.8%
- 1–28.0%
- 1–07.2%
- 2–26.5%
Recent form
SK Rapid W
- 2026-10-17T15:00:00.000Z · H vs First Vienna W · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-04T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Austria Wien W · 0-6 (L)
- 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Salzburg W · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-18T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Sturm Graz W · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · H vs LASK W · 2-1 (W)
First Vienna W
- 2026-10-17T15:00:00.000Z · A vs SK Rapid W · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-03T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Salzburg W · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs LASK W · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-20T10:30:00.000Z · A vs Rheindorf Altach W · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · H vs St. Pölten W · 1-4 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Frauenliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sturm Graz W | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 23 |
| 2 | Austria Wien W | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 22 |
| 3 | St. Pölten W | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 22 |
| 4 | Rheindorf Altach W | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 16 |
| 5 | Salzburg W | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 16 |
| 6 | LASK W | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 11 |
| 7 | First Vienna W | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -8 | 8 |
| 8 | SK Rapid W | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -9 | 7 |
| 9 | Südburgenland W | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -21 | 5 |
| 10 | Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | -22 | 4 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 65.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 61%.
A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.