Allianz Stadion · Analysis updated 10:06 UTC
SK Rapid W vs Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.00 expected goals for SK Rapid W and 0.93 for Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W, a combined total of 2.93. That distribution gives SK Rapid W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 62%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 56% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 62% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
SK Rapid W win
62.4% probability
Expected goals
2.00 – 0.93
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
SK Rapid W home form
4 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates SK Rapid W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 62%, against 62% / 21% / 17% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.00 goals for SK Rapid W and 0.93 for Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W, a combined 2.93 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
83%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
38%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–010.7%
- 2–010.7%
- 1–19.9%
- 2–19.9%
- 3–07.2%
Recent form
SK Rapid W
- 2026-10-17T15:00:00.000Z · H vs First Vienna W · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-04T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Austria Wien W · 0-6 (L)
- 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Salzburg W · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-18T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Sturm Graz W · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · H vs LASK W · 2-1 (W)
Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W
- 2026-10-24T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Salzburg W · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-10-17T12:00:00.000Z · A vs LASK W · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Rheindorf Altach W · 1-6 (L)
- 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · A vs St. Pölten W · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Austria Wien W · 0-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Frauenliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sturm Graz W | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 26 |
| 2 | St. Pölten W | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 25 |
| 3 | Austria Wien W | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 26 | 23 |
| 4 | Salzburg W | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 19 |
| 5 | Rheindorf Altach W | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 17 |
| 6 | LASK W | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 11 |
| 7 | First Vienna W | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -8 | 9 |
| 8 | SK Rapid W | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -13 | 7 |
| 9 | Südburgenland W | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -21 | 6 |
| 10 | Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | -26 | 4 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is SK Rapid W win, at 62.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 56%.
A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.