Austria · Frauenliga · Matchweek 409:00
SK Rapid WDLLLW

0 – 1

Sunday, 23 August 2026

Allianz Stadion · Analysis updated 14:08 UTC

SK Rapid W vs Rheindorf Altach W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.39 expected goals for SK Rapid W and 2.05 for Rheindorf Altach W, a combined total of 3.45. That distribution gives Rheindorf Altach W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 53%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 67% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 53% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Rheindorf Altach W win

52.7% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.39 – 2.05

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • SK Rapid W home form

    4 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Rheindorf Altach W away threat

    Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Rheindorf Altach W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 53%, against 26% / 21% / 53% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.39 goals for SK Rapid W and 2.05 for Rheindorf Altach W, a combined 3.45 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

SK Rapid W win26%
Draw21%
Rheindorf Altach W win53%

Double chance 1X

47%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

74%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals86%
Over 2.5 goals67%
Over 3.5 goals45%
Both teams to score66%

Correct score

  • 1–29.4%
  • 1–19.1%
  • 0–26.7%
  • 0–16.5%
  • 2–26.5%

Recent form

SK Rapid W

  • 2026-10-17T15:00:00.000Z · H vs First Vienna W · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-10-04T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Austria Wien W · 0-6 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Salzburg W · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-18T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Sturm Graz W · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · H vs LASK W · 2-1 (W)

Rheindorf Altach W

  • 2026-08-29T13:00:00.000Z · H vs LASK W · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-08-23T09:00:00.000Z · A vs SK Rapid W · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-16T09:00:00.000Z · A vs St. Pölten W · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-08-01T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Sturm Graz W · 2-6 (L)
  • 2026-05-23T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W · 0-1 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Frauenliga table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Sturm Graz W107211623
2Austria Wien W97112622
3St. Pölten W97112022
4Rheindorf Altach W9513416
5Salzburg W10514-316
6LASK W10325-311
7First Vienna W10154-88
8SK Rapid W9144-97
9Südburgenland W10127-215
10Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W10118-224

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Rheindorf Altach W win, at 52.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 66% and over 2.5 goals at 67%.

A 53% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.