SK Vorwarts Steyr vs Bad Schallerbach Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.45 expected goals for SK Vorwarts Steyr and 1.40 for Bad Schallerbach, a combined total of 2.85. That distribution gives SK Vorwarts Steyr the largest share of the 1X2 market at 39%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 54% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 39% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

63.7% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.45 – 1.40

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

SK Vorwarts Steyr home form
8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Bad Schallerbach away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates SK Vorwarts Steyr to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 39%, against 39% / 25% / 36% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.45 goals for SK Vorwarts Steyr and 1.40 for Bad Schallerbach, a combined 2.85 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

SK Vorwarts Steyr win39%

Draw25%

Bad Schallerbach win36%

Double chance 1X

64%

Double chance 12

75%

Double chance X2

61%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals78%

Over 2.5 goals54%

Over 3.5 goals32%

Both teams to score58%

Correct score

1–111.8%
2–18.5%
1–08.4%
1–28.2%
0–18.1%

Recent form

SK Vorwarts Steyr

2026-10-09T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Kuchl · 2-2 (D)
2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · A vs LASK Juniors · 0-1 (L)
2026-09-26T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Grödig · 3-0 (W)
2026-09-18T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Wohnbau Dietach · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-15T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Bad Schallerbach · 1-1 (D)

Bad Schallerbach

2026-10-16T17:00:00.000Z · A vs TSV St. Johann · 1-1 (D)
2026-10-09T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Wallern / Marienkirchen · 0-2 (L)
2026-10-02T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Pinzgau Saalfelden · 3-0 (W)
2026-09-25T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Kuchl · 5-1 (W)
2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs LASK Juniors · 0-3 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Regionalliga - North table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Wallern / Marienkirchen	12	8	1	3	20	25
2	LASK Juniors	12	7	3	2	24	24
3	Gurten	13	7	3	3	9	24
4	Wals-Grünau	12	6	5	1	9	23
5	Kuchl	12	6	3	3	5	21
6	Bad Schallerbach	12	5	3	4	7	18
7	SK Vorwarts Steyr	12	5	3	4	2	18
8	Leonfelden	12	4	4	4	-2	16
9	Grödig	12	5	1	6	-2	16
10	TSV St. Johann	12	4	3	5	-5	15
11	Ried II	13	4	2	7	-14	14
12	Seekirchen	12	3	3	6	-7	12
13	UFC Hallein	12	3	3	6	-11	12
14	Wohnbau Dietach	12	2	3	7	-19	9
15	Pinzgau Saalfelden	12	1	2	9	-16	5

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 63.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 54%.

A 64% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.