Skala 1911 Stryi vs Atlet Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.72 expected goals for Skala 1911 Stryi and 1.50 for Atlet, a combined total of 3.22. That distribution gives Skala 1911 Stryi the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 63% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

66.4% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.72 – 1.50

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Skala 1911 Stryi home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Atlet away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Skala 1911 Stryi to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 43% / 23% / 34% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.72 goals for Skala 1911 Stryi and 1.50 for Atlet, a combined 3.22 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Skala 1911 Stryi win43%

Draw23%

Atlet win34%

Double chance 1X

66%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

57%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals83%

Over 2.5 goals63%

Over 3.5 goals40%

Both teams to score64%

Correct score

1–110.3%
2–18.9%
1–27.7%
1–06.9%
2–26.7%

Recent form

Skala 1911 Stryi

2026-09-26T09:45:00.000Z · A vs Bratslav Vinnytsia · 0-3 (L)
2026-09-21T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Vilkhivtsi · 0-1 (L)
2026-09-12T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Podillya Khmelnytskyi · 1-2 (L)
2026-09-05T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Ruh Lviv · 1-0 (W)
2026-08-28T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Nyva Ternopil II · 1-0 (W)

Atlet

2026-10-02T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Penuel · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-27T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Metalurh Zaporizhya · 2-3 (L)
2026-09-21T09:00:00.000Z · A vs SC Poltava 2 · 3-0 (W)
2026-09-13T10:30:00.000Z · H vs Karbon Cherkasy · 2-2 (D)
2026-09-04T10:30:00.000Z · H vs Oleksandria II · 2-0 (W)

Head-to-head

2026-05-15T08:30:00.000Z · Skala 1911 Stryi 3-1 Atlet (Druha Liga)
2026-03-20T10:30:00.000Z · Skala 1911 Stryi 3-4 Atlet (Druha Liga)
2025-10-03T10:30:00.000Z · Skala 1911 Stryi 0-3 Atlet (Druha Liga)

Druha Liga table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bratslav Vinnytsia	11	7	4	0	17	25
1	Karbon Cherkasy	9	5	3	1	11	18
2	Dnister Zalishchyky	11	6	3	2	6	21
2	Lozova	10	5	1	4	-1	16
3	Nyva Vinnytsya	11	5	5	1	7	20
3	Rebel	9	4	2	3	3	14
4	Vilkhivtsi	11	3	5	3	-2	14
4	SC Poltava 2	11	4	2	5	-2	14
5	Podillya Khmelnytskyi	10	4	1	5	-4	13
5	Trostianets	10	3	5	2	3	14
6	Nyva Ternopil II	11	3	3	5	-7	12
6	Atlet	9	3	4	2	4	13
7	Skala 1911 Stryi	10	3	2	5	-4	11
7	Oleksandria II	11	3	4	4	0	13
8	Dinaz Vyshhorod	11	1	5	5	-10	8
8	Metalurh Zaporizhya	10	3	3	4	-1	12
9	Ruh Lviv	10	1	2	7	-3	5
9	Penuel	11	2	2	7	-17	8

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 66.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 63%.

A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.