Ukraine · Druha Liga · Matchweek 513:00

1 – 0

Saturday, 5 September 2026

Ruh LvivDDLLL

· Analysis updated 20:53 UTC

Skala 1911 Stryi vs Ruh Lviv Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.69 expected goals for Skala 1911 Stryi and 1.48 for Ruh Lviv, a combined total of 3.17. That distribution gives Skala 1911 Stryi the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 61% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

66.2% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.69 – 1.48

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Skala 1911 Stryi home form

    7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Ruh Lviv away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Skala 1911 Stryi to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 43% / 23% / 34% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.69 goals for Skala 1911 Stryi and 1.48 for Ruh Lviv, a combined 3.17 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Skala 1911 Stryi win43%
Draw23%
Ruh Lviv win34%

Double chance 1X

66%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

57%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals83%
Over 2.5 goals61%
Over 3.5 goals39%
Both teams to score63%

Correct score

  • 1–110.5%
  • 2–18.9%
  • 1–27.8%
  • 1–07.1%
  • 2–26.6%

Recent form

Skala 1911 Stryi

  • 2026-09-26T09:45:00.000Z · A vs Bratslav Vinnytsia · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-21T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Vilkhivtsi · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-12T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Podillya Khmelnytskyi · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-05T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Ruh Lviv · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-28T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Nyva Ternopil II · 1-0 (W)

Ruh Lviv

  • 2026-10-11T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Nyva Vinnytsya · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-10-04T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Bratslav Vinnytsia · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-27T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Vilkhivtsi · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-20T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Podillya Khmelnytskyi · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-14T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Nyva Ternopil II · 0-1 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Druha Liga table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Bratslav Vinnytsia117401725
1Karbon Cherkasy95311118
2Dnister Zalishchyky11632621
2Lozova10514-116
3Nyva Vinnytsya11551720
3Rebel9423314
4Vilkhivtsi11353-214
4SC Poltava 211425-214
5Podillya Khmelnytskyi10415-413
5Trostianets10352314
6Nyva Ternopil II11335-712
6Atlet9342413
7Skala 1911 Stryi10325-411
7Oleksandria II11344013
8Dinaz Vyshhorod11155-108
8Metalurh Zaporizhya10334-112
9Ruh Lviv10127-35
9Penuel11227-178

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 66.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 61%.

A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.