· Analysis updated 13:06 UTC
Skala 1911 Stryi vs Vilkhivtsi Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.90 expected goals for Skala 1911 Stryi and 1.75 for Vilkhivtsi, a combined total of 3.65. That distribution gives Skala 1911 Stryi the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 71% for over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
63.9% probability
Expected goals
1.90 – 1.75
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Skala 1911 Stryi home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Vilkhivtsi away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 3 of the last 5 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
64%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
58%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–18.6%
- 2–18.2%
- 1–27.6%
- 2–27.2%
- 3–15.2%
Recent form
Skala 1911 Stryi
- 2026-09-26T09:45:00.000Z · A vs Bratslav Vinnytsia · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-21T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Vilkhivtsi · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-12T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Podillya Khmelnytskyi · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-05T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Ruh Lviv · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-28T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Nyva Ternopil II · 1-0 (W)
Vilkhivtsi
- 2026-10-09T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Nyva Ternopil II · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Podillya Khmelnytskyi · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-27T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Ruh Lviv · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-21T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Skala 1911 Stryi · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-17T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Shakhtar Donetsk · 0-3 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-04-04T12:30:00.000Z · Skala 1911 Stryi 1-1 Vilkhivtsi (Druha Liga)
- 2025-11-12T11:30:00.000Z · Skala 1911 Stryi 4-1 Vilkhivtsi (Druha Liga)
- 2025-09-07T12:00:00.000Z · Skala 1911 Stryi 5-0 Vilkhivtsi (Druha Liga)
- 2025-04-26T11:15:00.000Z · Skala 1911 Stryi 2-2 Vilkhivtsi (Druha Liga)
- 2024-09-15T12:00:00.000Z · Skala 1911 Stryi 0-1 Vilkhivtsi (Druha Liga)
Druha Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bratslav Vinnytsia | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 17 | 25 |
| 1 | Karbon Cherkasy | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 18 |
| 2 | Dnister Zalishchyky | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 21 |
| 2 | Lozova | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 16 |
| 3 | Nyva Vinnytsya | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 19 |
| 3 | Trostianets | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14 |
| 4 | Vilkhivtsi | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 13 |
| 4 | SC Poltava 2 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 14 |
| 5 | Podillya Khmelnytskyi | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 13 |
| 5 | Atlet | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13 |
| 6 | Nyva Ternopil II | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 12 |
| 6 | Metalurh Zaporizhya | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 |
| 7 | Skala 1911 Stryi | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -4 | 11 |
| 7 | Rebel | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 | Dinaz Vyshhorod | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -10 | 7 |
| 8 | Oleksandria II | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 10 |
| 9 | Ruh Lviv | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -3 | 4 |
| 9 | Penuel | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -19 | 5 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 63.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 70% and over 2.5 goals at 71%.
A 64% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.