· Referee H. Vidoy · Analysis updated 05:42 UTC
Skála vs NSI Runavik Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.50 expected goals for Skála and 2.05 for NSI Runavik, a combined total of 3.55. That distribution gives NSI Runavik the largest share of the 1X2 market at 50%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 69% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 50% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
NSI Runavik win
50.4% probability
Expected goals
1.50 – 2.05
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Skála home form
8 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
NSI Runavik away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates NSI Runavik to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 50%, against 28% / 21% / 50% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.50 goals for Skála and 2.05 for NSI Runavik, a combined 3.55 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
50%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
72%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–29.1%
- 1–18.8%
- 2–26.8%
- 2–16.6%
- 1–36.2%
Recent form
Skála
- 2026-09-18T17:30:00.000Z · A vs KI Klaksvik · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-13T17:30:00.000Z · H vs HB Torshavn · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-08-30T16:15:00.000Z · H vs 07 Vestur · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-23T16:15:00.000Z · A vs B68 · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-16T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Vikingur Gota · 2-1 (W)
NSI Runavik
- 2026-09-18T17:30:00.000Z · A vs B36 Torshavn · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-13T16:15:00.000Z · H vs Vikingur Gota · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-30T14:00:00.000Z · H vs AB · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-08-23T14:00:00.000Z · A vs KI Klaksvik · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-08-16T14:00:00.000Z · H vs EB / Streymur · 4-2 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Meistaradeildin table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NSI Runavik | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 55 |
| 2 | KI Klaksvik | 26 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 29 | 51 |
| 3 | HB Torshavn | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 45 |
| 4 | Vikingur Gota | 26 | 10 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 42 |
| 5 | B36 Torshavn | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 39 |
| 6 | EB / Streymur | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | -12 | 27 |
| 7 | Skála | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -13 | 25 |
| 8 | AB | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | -14 | 25 |
| 9 | 07 Vestur | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | -17 | 25 |
| 10 | B68 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | -23 | 20 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is NSI Runavik win, at 50.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 68% and over 2.5 goals at 69%.
A 50% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.