· Referee R. Gaardbo · Analysis updated 15:15 UTC
Skála vs Vikingur Gota Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.13 expected goals for Skála and 1.85 for Vikingur Gota, a combined total of 2.98. That distribution gives Vikingur Gota the largest share of the 1X2 market at 54%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 57% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 54% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Vikingur Gota win
54.3% probability
Expected goals
1.13 – 1.85
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Skála home form
8 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Vikingur Gota away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Vikingur Gota to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 54%, against 23% / 23% / 54% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.13 goals for Skála and 1.85 for Vikingur Gota, a combined 2.98 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
46%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
77%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.6%
- 1–29.8%
- 0–19.4%
- 0–28.7%
- 1–36.1%
Recent form
Skála
- 2026-09-18T17:30:00.000Z · A vs KI Klaksvik · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-13T17:30:00.000Z · H vs HB Torshavn · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-08-30T16:15:00.000Z · H vs 07 Vestur · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-23T16:15:00.000Z · A vs B68 · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-16T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Vikingur Gota · 2-1 (W)
Vikingur Gota
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs 07 Vestur · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-09-13T16:15:00.000Z · A vs NSI Runavik · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-05T18:00:00.000Z · H vs KI Klaksvik · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-28T17:30:00.000Z · H vs HB Torshavn · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-08-21T17:30:00.000Z · H vs B36 Torshavn · 0-0 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Meistaradeildin table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NSI Runavik | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 51 |
| 2 | KI Klaksvik | 24 | 13 | 9 | 2 | 27 | 48 |
| 3 | HB Torshavn | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 41 |
| 4 | Vikingur Gota | 24 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 38 |
| 5 | B36 Torshavn | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 38 |
| 6 | EB / Streymur | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | -11 | 26 |
| 7 | AB | 24 | 7 | 3 | 14 | -12 | 24 |
| 8 | Skála | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -13 | 23 |
| 9 | 07 Vestur | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | -17 | 22 |
| 10 | B68 | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | -23 | 17 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Vikingur Gota win, at 54.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 57%.
A 54% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.