· Analysis updated 16:06 UTC
Skalica vs AS Trencin Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.80 expected goals for Skalica and 1.98 for AS Trencin, a combined total of 3.78. That distribution gives AS Trencin the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 73% for over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Draw/Away
64.1% probability
Expected goals
1.80 – 1.98
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Skalica home form
3 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
AS Trencin away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 5 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
57%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
64%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–18.2%
- 1–28.1%
- 2–17.3%
- 2–27.2%
- 1–35.3%
Recent form
Skalica
- 2026-09-20T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Podbrezová · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-12T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Dukla Banská Bystrica · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-05T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Komárno · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-02T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Fomat Martin · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-08-30T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Dunajska Streda · 1-6 (L)
AS Trencin
- 2026-10-14T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Lokomotíva Košice · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-10T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Dukla Banská Bystrica · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-03T09:30:00.000Z · A vs Artis · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-19T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Žilina · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-12T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Dunajska Streda · 1-4 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-04-19T13:30:00.000Z · Skalica 4-1 AS Trencin (Super Liga)
- 2026-03-15T14:30:00.000Z · Skalica 1-2 AS Trencin (Super Liga)
- 2026-02-28T14:30:00.000Z · Skalica 0-1 AS Trencin (Super Liga)
- 2025-10-18T13:30:00.000Z · Skalica 1-1 AS Trencin (Super Liga)
- 2025-05-17T15:00:00.000Z · Skalica 0-2 AS Trencin (Super Liga)
- 2025-03-15T14:30:00.000Z · Skalica 1-0 AS Trencin (Super Liga)
- 2025-03-01T14:30:00.000Z · Skalica 0-0 AS Trencin (Super Liga)
- 2024-10-19T13:30:00.000Z · Skalica 1-2 AS Trencin (Super Liga)
- 2024-04-27T16:00:00.000Z · Skalica 0-4 AS Trencin (Super Liga)
- 2024-03-16T14:00:00.000Z · Skalica 3-1 AS Trencin (Super Liga)
Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dunajska Streda | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 23 |
| 2 | Spartak Trnava | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 21 |
| 3 | Žilina | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 21 |
| 4 | Slovan Bratislava | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 17 |
| 5 | Podbrezová | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 14 |
| 6 | FK Košice | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | Zemplín Michalovce | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 13 |
| 8 | Dukla Banská Bystrica | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -11 | 10 |
| 9 | Skalica | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -8 | 9 |
| 10 | Komárno | 10 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 11 | Ružomberok | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -10 | 6 |
| 12 | AS Trencin | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 5 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 64.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 72% and over 2.5 goals at 73%.
A 64% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.