Sweden · Division 2 - Norra Götaland · Norra Götaland - 1812:00
SkaraLWDWD

12:00 UTC

Saturday, 22 August 2026

TordDLWDL

· Analysis updated 23:43 UTC

Skara vs Tord Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.32 expected goals for Skara and 0.90 for Tord, a combined total of 3.22. That distribution gives Skara the largest share of the 1X2 market at 69%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 62% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 69% favourite still loses or draws roughly 31% of the time.

Model pick

Skara to Win

69.1% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

2.32 – 0.90

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Skara win69%
Draw18%
Tord win13%

Double chance 1X

87%

Double chance 12

82%

Double chance X2

31%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals83%
Over 2.5 goals62%
Over 3.5 goals40%
Both teams to score54%

Correct score

  • 2–010.7%
  • 2–19.7%
  • 1–09.2%
  • 1–18.3%
  • 3–08.3%

Why the model likes this

  • Tord away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Skara to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 69%, against 69% / 18% / 13% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.32 goals for Skara and 0.90 for Tord, a combined 3.22 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 62% and both teams to score at 54%, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.

Recent form

Skara

    Tord

    • 2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Motala · 1-1 (D)
    • 2026-08-09T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Herrestads · 2-3 (L)
    • 2026-07-31T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Kumla · 2-0 (W)
    • 2026-06-27T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Ahlafors · 2-2 (D)
    • 2026-06-18T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Kumla · 0-1 (L)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Division 2 - Norra Götaland table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Husqvarna1714302845
    2Skara1711421537
    3IFK Skövde179441131
    4Ahlafors178631630
    5Grebbestad17926629
    6Stenungsund17746925
    7Herrestads17665-124
    8Motala17557020
    9Kumla17557-720
    10Vänersborgs FK16448-1116
    11Tord17197-1012
    12Lidköping163310-1812
    13IF Karlstad II162410-1310
    14Vänersborgs IF162311-259

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.