· Analysis updated 06:04 UTC
Skeid vs Stjørdals-Blink Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.93 expected goals for Skeid and 2.13 for Stjørdals-Blink, a combined total of 4.05. That distribution gives Stjørdals-Blink the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 77% for over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Draw/Away
64.1% probability
Expected goals
1.93 – 2.13
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Skeid home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Stjørdals-Blink away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 2 of the last 5 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
56%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
64%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–27.6%
- 2–27.3%
- 1–17.1%
- 2–16.9%
- 1–35.4%
Recent form
Skeid
- 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Hønefoss · 4-3 (W)
- 2026-09-27T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Lørenskog · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-20T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Tromsdalen Uil · 0-6 (L)
- 2026-09-17T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Valerenga · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-13T15:45:00.000Z · A vs Junkeren · 0-1 (L)
Stjørdals-Blink
- 2026-10-17T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Trygg/Lade · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-10-11T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Tromsdalen Uil · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-03T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Follo · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Ull/Kisa · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Lørenskog · 2-0 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-05-09T13:30:00.000Z · Skeid 1-0 Stjørdals-Blink (2. Division - Group 2)
- 2024-10-11T14:30:00.000Z · Skeid 2-1 Stjørdals-Blink (2. Division - Group 2)
- 2024-06-22T11:30:00.000Z · Skeid 0-0 Stjørdals-Blink (2. Division - Group 2)
- 2022-10-29T13:00:00.000Z · Skeid 0-1 Stjørdals-Blink (1. Division)
- 2022-05-23T16:00:00.000Z · Skeid 3-1 Stjørdals-Blink (1. Division)
2. Division - Group 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eidsvold | 24 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 36 | 57 |
| 2 | Kjelsås | 24 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 53 |
| 3 | Levanger | 24 | 16 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Hønefoss | 24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 49 |
| 5 | Grorud | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 46 |
| 6 | Stjørdals-Blink | 24 | 11 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 36 |
| 7 | Tromsdalen Uil | 24 | 11 | 2 | 11 | 1 | 35 |
| 8 | Lørenskog | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | -5 | 34 |
| 9 | Junkeren | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | -8 | 31 |
| 10 | Rana | 24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | -5 | 30 |
| 11 | Skeid | 24 | 7 | 2 | 15 | -15 | 23 |
| 12 | Follo | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | -21 | 17 |
| 13 | Ull/Kisa | 24 | 4 | 1 | 19 | -48 | 13 |
| 14 | Trygg/Lade | 24 | 2 | 4 | 18 | -30 | 10 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 64.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 75% and over 2.5 goals at 77%.
A 64% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.