Skeid vs Tromsdalen Uil Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.68 expected goals for Skeid and 1.63 for Tromsdalen Uil, a combined total of 3.30. That distribution gives Skeid the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 64% for over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

62.5% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.68 – 1.63

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Skeid home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Tromsdalen Uil away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 3 of the last 9 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Skeid win40%

Draw23%

Tromsdalen Uil win37%

Double chance 1X

63%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

60%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals84%

Over 2.5 goals64%

Over 3.5 goals42%

Both teams to score65%

Correct score

1–110.0%
2–18.4%
1–28.2%
2–26.8%
1–06.2%

Recent form

Skeid

2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Hønefoss · 4-3 (W)
2026-09-27T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Lørenskog · 1-4 (L)
2026-09-20T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Tromsdalen Uil · 0-6 (L)
2026-09-17T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Valerenga · 1-4 (L)
2026-09-13T15:45:00.000Z · A vs Junkeren · 0-1 (L)

Tromsdalen Uil

2026-09-27T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Hønefoss · 1-2 (L)
2026-09-20T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Skeid · 6-0 (W)
2026-09-16T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Grorud · 0-2 (L)
2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Trygg/Lade · 3-1 (W)
2026-09-08T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Strommen · 9-1 (W)

Head-to-head

2026-09-20T15:00:00.000Z · Skeid 0-6 Tromsdalen Uil (2. Division - Group 2)
2026-05-31T14:30:00.000Z · Skeid 0-2 Tromsdalen Uil (2. Division - Group 2)
2024-10-05T13:00:00.000Z · Skeid 3-4 Tromsdalen Uil (2. Division - Group 2)
2024-04-06T11:45:00.000Z · Skeid 2-2 Tromsdalen Uil (2. Division - Group 2)
2024-02-23T13:30:00.000Z · Skeid 3-0 Tromsdalen Uil (Friendlies Clubs)
2020-11-08T15:30:00.000Z · Skeid 1-0 Tromsdalen Uil (2. Division - Group 1)
2020-09-13T15:00:00.000Z · Skeid 3-2 Tromsdalen Uil (2. Division - Group 1)
2019-08-11T16:00:00.000Z · Skeid 0-1 Tromsdalen Uil (1. Division)
2019-04-28T16:00:00.000Z · Skeid 3-0 Tromsdalen Uil (1. Division)

2. Division - Group 2 table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Eidsvold	25	19	3	3	39	60
2	Kjelsås	24	17	2	5	22	53
3	Levanger	24	16	1	7	28	49
4	Hønefoss	25	15	4	6	21	49
5	Grorud	24	14	4	6	20	46
6	Lørenskog	25	11	4	10	-1	37
7	Stjørdals-Blink	24	11	3	10	1	36
8	Tromsdalen Uil	24	11	2	11	1	35
9	Junkeren	24	9	4	11	-8	31
10	Rana	24	9	3	12	-5	30
11	Skeid	25	7	2	16	-17	23
12	Follo	25	5	5	15	-19	20
13	Ull/Kisa	25	4	1	20	-52	13
14	Trygg/Lade	24	2	4	18	-30	10

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 62.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 65% and over 2.5 goals at 64%.

A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.