· Analysis updated 14:38 UTC
Skive vs FA 2000 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.55 expected goals for Skive and 0.95 for FA 2000, a combined total of 2.50. That distribution gives Skive the largest share of the 1X2 market at 51%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 46% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 51% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Skive win
51.3% probability
Expected goals
1.55 – 0.95
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Skive home form
1 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
FA 2000 away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Skive to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 51%, against 51% / 26% / 23% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.55 goals for Skive and 0.95 for FA 2000, a combined 2.50 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
77%
Double chance 12
75%
Double chance X2
49%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–012.7%
- 1–112.1%
- 2–09.9%
- 2–19.4%
- 0–08.2%
Recent form
Skive
- 2026-08-25T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Esbjerg · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-08-21T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Thisted FC · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-14T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Fremad Amager · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-08T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Nykobing FC · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-08-05T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Odder · 3-2 (W)
FA 2000
- 2026-09-18T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Roskilde · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Nykobing FC · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-05T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Skive · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-08-29T11:30:00.000Z · A vs VSK Århus · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-08-26T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Lyngby · 0-1 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
2. Division table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nykobing FC | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 22 |
| 2 | Roskilde | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 18 |
| 3 | VSK Århus | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 18 |
| 4 | Middelfart | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | B 93 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 |
| 6 | Naestved | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 15 |
| 7 | Skive | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 14 |
| 8 | Fremad Amager | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | -2 | 14 |
| 9 | Brabrand | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 9 |
| 10 | HIK | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 8 |
| 11 | FA 2000 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -12 | 5 |
| 12 | Thisted FC | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | -13 | 4 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Skive win, at 51.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 48% and over 2.5 goals at 46%.
A 51% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.