· Analysis updated 05:39 UTC
Skopje vs Bashkimi Kumanovo Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.95 expected goals for Skopje and 1.06 for Bashkimi Kumanovo, a combined total of 3.00. That distribution gives Skopje the largest share of the 1X2 market at 58%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 58% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 58% favourite still loses or draws roughly 42% of the time.
Model pick
Skopje to Win
58.1% probability
Expected goals
1.95 – 1.06
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
80%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
42%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.2%
- 2–19.9%
- 1–09.7%
- 2–09.4%
- 3–16.4%
Why the model likes this
Skopje home form
10 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Bashkimi Kumanovo away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Skopje to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 58%, against 58% / 22% / 20% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.95 goals for Skopje and 1.06 for Bashkimi Kumanovo, a combined 3.00 — an open game on paper.
Recent form
Skopje
- 2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Sileks · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-08-09T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Struga · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-07-26T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Shkendija · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-07-19T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Aresimi · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-05-31T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Akademija Pandev · 1-0 (W)
Bashkimi Kumanovo
- 2026-08-14T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Aresimi · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-08T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Tikveš · 0-5 (L)
- 2026-07-26T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Sileks · 0-6 (L)
- 2026-05-24T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Pelister · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-05-16T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Makedonija GjP · 3-3 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
First League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sileks | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 7 |
| 2 | Tikveš | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 |
| 3 | Shkendija | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 |
| 4 | Struga | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
| 5 | Shkëndija Haraçinë | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 4 |
| 6 | Bregalnica Štip | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Vardar Skopje | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Aresimi | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -7 | 3 |
| 9 | Skopje | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -6 | 1 |
| 10 | Bashkimi Kumanovo | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -12 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.