SKU Amstetten vs SV Horn Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.95 expected goals for SKU Amstetten and 1.85 for SV Horn, a combined total of 4.80. That distribution gives SKU Amstetten the largest share of the 1X2 market at 60%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 85% for over 2.5 goals and 80% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 60% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

SKU Amstetten win

60.3% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.95 – 1.85

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

SKU Amstetten home form
8 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
SV Horn away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 6 of the last 10 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

SKU Amstetten win60%

Draw17%

SV Horn win23%

Double chance 1X

77%

Double chance 12

83%

Double chance X2

40%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals95%

Over 2.5 goals85%

Over 3.5 goals70%

Both teams to score80%

Correct score

2–16.6%
3–16.5%
2–26.1%
3–26.0%
4–14.8%

Recent form

SKU Amstetten

2026-10-09T16:30:00.000Z · H vs FC BW Linz · 1-1 (D)
2026-10-02T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Ried · 3-3 (D)
2026-09-18T16:30:00.000Z · A vs SV Kapfenberg · 4-3 (W)
2026-09-11T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Austria Vienna (Am) · 4-2 (W)
2026-08-28T16:30:00.000Z · A vs First Vienna · 0-1 (L)

SV Horn

2026-08-28T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Krems / Rehberg · 1-0 (W)
2026-08-21T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Donau · 1-1 (D)
2026-08-14T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Leobendorf · 0-0 (D)
2026-08-07T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Wienerberg · 3-0 (W)
2026-07-31T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Fach-Donaufeld · 1-2 (L)

Head-to-head

2026-07-04T17:00:00.000Z · SKU Amstetten 1-0 SV Horn (Friendlies Clubs)
2025-04-13T08:30:00.000Z · SKU Amstetten 0-0 SV Horn (2. Liga)
2024-09-27T16:00:00.000Z · SKU Amstetten 3-3 SV Horn (2. Liga)
2024-08-27T17:00:00.000Z · SKU Amstetten 1-3 SV Horn (Cup)
2024-05-20T14:00:00.000Z · SKU Amstetten 1-1 SV Horn (2. Liga)
2023-11-10T17:10:00.000Z · SKU Amstetten 1-3 SV Horn (2. Liga)
2023-06-04T12:30:00.000Z · SKU Amstetten 2-2 SV Horn (2. Liga)
2022-11-06T09:30:00.000Z · SKU Amstetten 1-2 SV Horn (2. Liga)
2022-04-22T16:30:00.000Z · SKU Amstetten 0-0 SV Horn (2. Liga)
2021-10-16T12:30:00.000Z · SKU Amstetten 3-0 SV Horn (2. Liga)

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is SKU Amstetten win, at 60.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 80% and over 2.5 goals at 85%.

A 60% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.