Śląsk Wrocław II vs Legia Warszawa II Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.04 expected goals for Śląsk Wrocław II and 2.21 for Legia Warszawa II, a combined total of 4.25. That distribution gives Legia Warszawa II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 80% for over 2.5 goals and 77% for both teams to score, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

63.2% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

2.04 – 2.21

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Śląsk Wrocław II home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Legia Warszawa II away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Legia Warszawa II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 37% / 20% / 43% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.04 goals for Śląsk Wrocław II and 2.21 for Legia Warszawa II, a combined 4.25 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Śląsk Wrocław II win37%

Draw20%

Legia Warszawa II win43%

Double chance 1X

57%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

63%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals92%

Over 2.5 goals80%

Over 3.5 goals61%

Both teams to score77%

Correct score

2–27.2%
1–27.1%
2–16.6%
1–16.4%
2–35.3%

Recent form

Śląsk Wrocław II

2026-10-23T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Sokół Kleczew · 2-4 (L)
2026-10-18T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Avia Świdnik · 1-2 (L)
2026-10-14T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Legia Warszawa II · 2-2 (D)
2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Stal Stalowa Wola · 2-3 (L)
2026-09-20T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Hutnik Kraków · 2-0 (W)

Legia Warszawa II

2026-10-17T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Tychy 71 · 1-2 (L)
2026-10-14T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Śląsk Wrocław II · 2-2 (D)
2026-10-10T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Lechia Zielona Góra · 2-0 (W)
2026-09-19T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Podhale Nowy Targ · 3-0 (W)
2026-09-12T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Górnik Łęczna · 1-4 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

II Liga - East table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Znicz Pruszków	13	10	2	1	15	32
2	Tychy 71	12	7	5	0	12	26
3	Górnik Łęczna	13	7	2	4	13	23
4	Olimpia Grudziądz	13	6	4	3	-1	22
5	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	13	5	4	4	4	19
6	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	13	5	4	4	3	19
7	Podhale Nowy Targ	12	5	4	3	2	19
8	Stal Stalowa Wola	13	6	1	6	-2	19
9	Rekord Bielsko-Biała	13	5	3	5	3	18
10	Hutnik Kraków	13	5	3	5	2	18
11	Chojniczanka Chojnice	13	5	3	5	0	18
12	Avia Świdnik	13	5	2	6	-4	17
13	Legia Warszawa II	13	5	1	7	3	16
14	Lechia Zielona Góra	13	4	4	5	-4	16
15	Sokół Kleczew	13	2	6	5	-11	12
16	Śląsk Wrocław II	13	3	1	9	-6	10
17	Świt Skolwin	13	2	3	8	-16	9
18	Resovia Rzeszów	13	0	6	7	-13	6

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 63.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 77% and over 2.5 goals at 80%.

A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.