· Analysis updated 19:16 UTC
Slatina vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.18 expected goals for Slatina and 0.95 for CSM Ramnicu Valcea, a combined total of 3.13. That distribution gives Slatina the largest share of the 1X2 market at 65%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 61% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 65% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Slatina win
65.4% probability
Expected goals
2.18 – 0.95
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Slatina home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
CSM Ramnicu Valcea away threat
Scored in 1 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Slatina to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 65%, against 65% / 19% / 15% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.18 goals for Slatina and 0.95 for CSM Ramnicu Valcea, a combined 3.13 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
85%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
35%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–010.4%
- 2–19.9%
- 1–09.5%
- 1–19.0%
- 3–07.6%
Recent form
Slatina
- 2026-08-22T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Metalul Buzău · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-19T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-15T08:00:00.000Z · A vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-12T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Oltul Curtişoara · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-08-08T08:00:00.000Z · H vs CS Dinamo București · 5-1 (W)
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
- 2026-10-17T09:30:00.000Z · H vs FC Politehnica Timisoara · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-10T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Gloria Bistriţa · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Ludogorets · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-20T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Bihor Oradea · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-12T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Cetatea Suceava · 0-4 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Slatina win, at 65.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 61%.
A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.