Stadion Na Chvalech · Analysis updated 23:30 UTC
Slavia III vs České Budějovice Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.68 expected goals for Slavia III and 2.37 for České Budějovice, a combined total of 4.05. That distribution gives České Budějovice the largest share of the 1X2 market at 53%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 77% for over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 53% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
České Budějovice win
53.2% probability
Expected goals
1.68 – 2.37
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Slavia III home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
České Budějovice away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates České Budějovice to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 53%, against 27% / 20% / 53% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.68 goals for Slavia III and 2.37 for České Budějovice, a combined 4.05 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
47%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
73%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–28.2%
- 1–16.9%
- 2–26.9%
- 1–36.5%
- 2–15.8%
Recent form
Slavia III
- 2026-10-24T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Motorlet Praha · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-10-17T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Králův Dvůr · 3-4 (L)
- 2026-10-10T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Loko Vltavín · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-10-04T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Povltava FA · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-09-26T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Benešov · 2-0 (W)
České Budějovice
- 2026-10-24T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Králův Dvůr · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-10-17T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Loko Vltavín · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-10T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Povltava FA · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Benešov · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-26T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Jiskra Domažlice · 3-6 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
3. liga - CFL A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | České Budějovice | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 26 |
| 2 | Králův Dvůr | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 26 |
| 3 | Viktoria Plzeň II | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 23 |
| 4 | Motorlet Praha | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 23 |
| 5 | Jiskra Domažlice | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 21 |
| 6 | Loko Vltavín | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 18 |
| 7 | Sparta Praha II | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 16 |
| 8 | Slavia III | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 14 |
| 9 | Admira Praha | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 14 |
| 10 | Písek | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -6 | 14 |
| 11 | Příbram II | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 | Bohemians 1905 II | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -5 | 13 |
| 13 | Dukla Praha II | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -3 | 11 |
| 14 | Benešov | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -8 | 10 |
| 15 | Aritma Praha | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -17 | 9 |
| 16 | Povltava FA | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | -21 | 2 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is České Budějovice win, at 53.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 74% and over 2.5 goals at 77%.
A 53% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.