Czech-Republic · 3. liga - CFL A · Group A - 708:15
Slavia IIIWWLLL

0 – 2

Saturday, 19 September 2026

· Analysis updated 18:32 UTC

Slavia III vs Jiskra Domažlice Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.53 expected goals for Slavia III and 2.35 for Jiskra Domažlice, a combined total of 3.87. That distribution gives Jiskra Domažlice the largest share of the 1X2 market at 56%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 74% for over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 56% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Jiskra Domažlice win

56.0% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.53 – 2.35

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Slavia III home form

    4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Jiskra Domažlice away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Jiskra Domažlice to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 56%, against 25% / 20% / 56% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.53 goals for Slavia III and 2.35 for Jiskra Domažlice, a combined 3.87 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Slavia III win25%
Draw20%
Jiskra Domažlice win56%

Double chance 1X

44%

Double chance 12

81%

Double chance X2

76%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals90%
Over 2.5 goals74%
Over 3.5 goals54%
Both teams to score71%

Correct score

  • 1–28.7%
  • 1–17.4%
  • 1–36.8%
  • 2–26.7%
  • 0–25.7%

Recent form

Slavia III

  • 2026-10-24T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Motorlet Praha · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-10-17T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Králův Dvůr · 3-4 (L)
  • 2026-10-10T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Loko Vltavín · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-04T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Povltava FA · 4-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-26T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Benešov · 2-0 (W)

Jiskra Domažlice

  • 2026-10-04T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Admira Praha · 4-4 (D)
  • 2026-09-26T14:30:00.000Z · H vs České Budějovice · 6-3 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Slavia III · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-12T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Motorlet Praha · 5-2 (W)
  • 2026-09-05T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Králův Dvůr · 2-1 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

3. liga - CFL A table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1České Budějovice128222126
2Králův Dvůr118211326
3Viktoria Plzeň II117221123
4Motorlet Praha12723923
5Jiskra Domažlice12633221
6Loko Vltavín12534-218
7Sparta Praha II94411116
8Slavia III12426114
9Admira Praha12426-414
10Příbram II11344-113
11Bohemians 1905 II12345-513
12Dukla Praha II12255-311
13Písek11254-711
14Benešov11245-810
15Aritma Praha12165-179
16Povltava FA120210-212

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Jiskra Domažlice win, at 56.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 71% and over 2.5 goals at 74%.

A 56% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.