Stadion Junost · Analysis updated 17:45 UTC
Slavia Mozyr vs Dinamo Brest Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.30 expected goals for Slavia Mozyr and 1.33 for Dinamo Brest, a combined total of 2.63. That distribution gives Dinamo Brest the largest share of the 1X2 market at 38%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 49% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 38% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
64.0% probability
Expected goals
1.30 – 1.33
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Slavia Mozyr home form
7 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Dinamo Brest away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 6 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
62%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
64%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.5%
- 0–19.6%
- 1–09.3%
- 1–28.3%
- 2–18.1%
Recent form
Slavia Mozyr
- 2026-10-19T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Belshina · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-10-15T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Dinamo Minsk · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Bate Borisov · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Naftan · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-11T17:10:00.000Z · A vs FC Minsk · 0-1 (L)
Dinamo Brest
- 2026-09-20T14:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Dnepr Mogilev · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-09-13T17:10:00.000Z · A vs Dinamo Minsk · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-07T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Bate Borisov · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-29T14:30:00.000Z · H vs ML Vitebsk · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-08-23T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Baranovichi · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
- 2026-07-26T17:00:00.000Z · Slavia Mozyr 2-1 Dinamo Brest (Coppa)
- 2026-07-11T15:45:00.000Z · Slavia Mozyr 1-4 Dinamo Brest (Premier League)
- 2025-09-21T13:00:00.000Z · Slavia Mozyr 0-1 Dinamo Brest (Premier League)
- 2025-05-03T17:55:00.000Z · Slavia Mozyr 1-3 Dinamo Brest (Premier League)
- 2024-08-30T15:45:00.000Z · Slavia Mozyr 0-3 Dinamo Brest (Premier League)
- 2024-04-20T15:00:00.000Z · Slavia Mozyr 1-1 Dinamo Brest (Premier League)
- 2024-01-27T09:30:00.000Z · Slavia Mozyr 5-2 Dinamo Brest (Friendlies Clubs)
- 2023-08-20T12:30:00.000Z · Slavia Mozyr 0-1 Dinamo Brest (Premier League)
- 2023-04-09T11:00:00.000Z · Slavia Mozyr 1-0 Dinamo Brest (Premier League)
- 2023-02-22T15:00:00.000Z · Slavia Mozyr 1-1 Dinamo Brest (Friendlies Clubs)
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 64.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 49%.
A 64% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.