· Analysis updated 14:00 UTC
Slavia Praha II vs Puskás II Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 3.40 expected goals for Slavia Praha II and 1.50 for Puskás II, a combined total of 4.90. That distribution gives Slavia Praha II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 73%, with the draw at 13%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 86% for over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 73% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Slavia Praha II win
73.4% probability
Expected goals
3.40 – 1.50
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Slavia Praha II home form
8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Puskás II away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Slavia Praha II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 73%, against 73% / 13% / 13% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.40 goals for Slavia Praha II and 1.50 for Puskás II, a combined 4.90 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
87%
Double chance 12
87%
Double chance X2
27%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 3–17.3%
- 2–16.5%
- 4–16.2%
- 3–25.5%
- 3–04.9%
Recent form
Slavia Praha II
- 2026-09-18T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Vysočina Jihlava · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-13T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Viktoria Žižkov · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-04T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Ústí nad Labem · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-30T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Opava · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-08-23T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Hanácká · 4-1 (W)
Puskás II
- 2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · A vs MTE 1904 · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-27T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Balatonalmádi · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-19T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Dorogi FC · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-06T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Sárisápi Bányász · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-29T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Pápai Perutz · 5-0 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-07-18T09:00:00.000Z · Slavia Praha II 4-1 Puskás II (Friendlies Clubs)
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Slavia Praha II win, at 73.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 74% and over 2.5 goals at 86%.
A 73% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.