Czech-Republic · FNL · Matchweek 808:15

0 – 1

Sunday, 13 September 2026

Stadium Viktoria Zizkov · Referee D. Lovetinsky · Analysis updated 20:05 UTC

Slavia Praha II vs Viktoria Žižkov Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.90 expected goals for Slavia Praha II and 1.13 for Viktoria Žižkov, a combined total of 4.03. That distribution gives Slavia Praha II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 74%, with the draw at 15%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 76% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 74% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Slavia Praha II win

73.6% probability

High confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.90 – 1.13

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Slavia Praha II home form

    7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Viktoria Žižkov away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Slavia Praha II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 74%, against 74% / 15% / 12% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.90 goals for Slavia Praha II and 1.13 for Viktoria Žižkov, a combined 4.03 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Slavia Praha II win74%
Draw15%
Viktoria Žižkov win12%

Double chance 1X

88%

Double chance 12

85%

Double chance X2

26%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals91%
Over 2.5 goals76%
Over 3.5 goals57%
Both teams to score64%

Correct score

  • 2–18.5%
  • 3–18.2%
  • 2–07.5%
  • 3–07.3%
  • 4–15.9%

Recent form

Slavia Praha II

  • 2026-10-16T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Baník Ostrava II · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-09T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Vlašim · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-18T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Vysočina Jihlava · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-13T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Viktoria Žižkov · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-04T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Ústí nad Labem · 1-1 (D)

Viktoria Žižkov

  • 2026-10-24T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Hanácká · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-18T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Táborsko · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Arsenal Česká Lípa · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-02T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Pardubice · 1-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-20T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Třinec · 3-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Karviná129031327
2Vysočina Jihlava12723923
3Dukla Praha12633321
4Ústí nad Labem12543419
5Vlašim12534418
6Příbram12462218
7Slavia Praha II12444516
8Baník Ostrava II12435315
9Táborsko12363015
10Kladno12354-114
11Opava12354-314
12Viktoria Žižkov12426-814
13Arsenal Česká Lípa12345-613
14Třinec12255-711
15Prostějov12174-510
16Hanácká12237-139

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Slavia Praha II win, at 73.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 76%.

A 74% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.