Czech-Republic · 1. Liga U19 · Matchweek 209:00

1 – 1

Saturday, 15 August 2026

· Analysis updated 09:18 UTC

Slavia Praha U19 vs Pardubice U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.21 expected goals for Slavia Praha U19 and 1.67 for Pardubice U19, a combined total of 3.88. That distribution gives Slavia Praha U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 50%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 74% for over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 50% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Slavia Praha U19 win

50.4% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

2.21 – 1.67

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Slavia Praha U19 home form

    6 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Pardubice U19 away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Slavia Praha U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 50%, against 50% / 20% / 29% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.21 goals for Slavia Praha U19 and 1.67 for Pardubice U19, a combined 3.88 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Slavia Praha U19 win50%
Draw20%
Pardubice U19 win29%

Double chance 1X

71%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

50%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals90%
Over 2.5 goals74%
Over 3.5 goals54%
Both teams to score72%

Correct score

  • 2–18.4%
  • 1–17.6%
  • 2–27.0%
  • 1–26.3%
  • 3–16.2%

Recent form

Slavia Praha U19

  • 2026-10-24T10:15:00.000Z · H vs Opava U19 · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-10-20T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Fenerbahce U19 · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-17T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Mladá Boleslav U19 · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-10-13T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Sabah U19 · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-09T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Slovácko U19 · 4-1 (W)

Pardubice U19

  • 2026-09-26T10:45:00.000Z · H vs Karviná U19 · 6-2 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T09:00:00.000Z · A vs České Budějovice U19 · 1-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-12T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Viktoria Plzeň U19 · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-05T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Sparta Praha U19 · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-08-29T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Hradec Králové U19 · 0-2 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

1. Liga U19 table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Opava U19129121828
2Hradec Králové U19137421825
3Baník Ostrava U1910802524
4Sigma Olomouc U19117131022
5Dukla Praha U1912633721
6Mladá Boleslav U1912624520
7Viktoria Plzeň U1996121619
8Sparta Praha U1911515416
9Teplice U1911515-616
10České Budějovice U1911425714
11Zbrojovka Brno U1912426-514
12Slovácko U1912318-1210
13Pardubice U1912228-158
14Zlín U1911227-178
15Slavia Praha U1911146-117
16Karviná U1912219-247

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Slavia Praha U19 win, at 50.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 72% and over 2.5 goals at 74%.

A 50% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.