Czech-Republic · 1. Liga U19 · Matchweek 1511:00

11:00 UTC

Saturday, 21 November 2026

· Analysis updated 04:47 UTC

Slavia Praha U19 vs Sigma Olomouc U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.95 expected goals for Slavia Praha U19 and 2.70 for Sigma Olomouc U19, a combined total of 4.65. That distribution gives Sigma Olomouc U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 54%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 84% for over 2.5 goals and 80% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 54% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Sigma Olomouc U19 win

54.2% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.95 – 2.70

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Slavia Praha U19 home form

    6 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Sigma Olomouc U19 away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Sigma Olomouc U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 54%, against 28% / 18% / 54% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.95 goals for Slavia Praha U19 and 2.70 for Sigma Olomouc U19, a combined 4.65 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Slavia Praha U19 win28%
Draw18%
Sigma Olomouc U19 win54%

Double chance 1X

46%

Double chance 12

82%

Double chance X2

72%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals94%
Over 2.5 goals84%
Over 3.5 goals68%
Both teams to score80%

Correct score

  • 1–26.8%
  • 2–26.6%
  • 1–36.1%
  • 2–36.0%
  • 1–15.0%

Recent form

Slavia Praha U19

  • 2026-10-24T10:15:00.000Z · H vs Opava U19 · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-10-20T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Fenerbahce U19 · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-17T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Mladá Boleslav U19 · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-10-13T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Sabah U19 · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-09T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Slovácko U19 · 4-1 (W)

Sigma Olomouc U19

  • 2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Dukla Praha U19 · 4-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-12T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Karviná U19 · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-05T11:00:00.000Z · A vs České Budějovice U19 · 2-7 (L)
  • 2026-09-01T10:30:00.000Z · H vs Sparta Praha U19 · 5-3 (W)
  • 2026-08-29T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Viktoria Plzeň U19 · 0-3 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

1. Liga U19 table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Opava U19129121828
2Hradec Králové U19137421825
3Baník Ostrava U1910802524
4Sigma Olomouc U19117131022
5Dukla Praha U1912633721
6Mladá Boleslav U1912624520
7Viktoria Plzeň U1996121619
8Sparta Praha U1911515416
9Teplice U1911515-616
10České Budějovice U1911425714
11Zbrojovka Brno U1912426-514
12Slovácko U1912318-1210
13Pardubice U1912228-158
14Zlín U1911227-178
15Slavia Praha U1911146-117
16Karviná U1912219-247

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Sigma Olomouc U19 win, at 54.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 80% and over 2.5 goals at 84%.

A 54% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.