Czech-Republic · 1. Liga U19 · Matchweek 811:15

11:15 UTC

Wednesday, 28 October 2026

Zlín U19LLDLW

· Analysis updated 00:35 UTC

Slavia Praha U19 vs Zlín U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.40 expected goals for Slavia Praha U19 and 1.89 for Zlín U19, a combined total of 4.28. That distribution gives Slavia Praha U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 50%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 80% for over 2.5 goals and 77% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 50% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Slavia Praha U19 win

49.7% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

2.40 – 1.89

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Slavia Praha U19 home form

    6 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Zlín U19 away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Slavia Praha U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 50%, against 50% / 19% / 31% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.40 goals for Slavia Praha U19 and 1.89 for Zlín U19, a combined 4.28 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Slavia Praha U19 win50%
Draw19%
Zlín U19 win31%

Double chance 1X

69%

Double chance 12

81%

Double chance X2

50%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals93%
Over 2.5 goals80%
Over 3.5 goals62%
Both teams to score77%

Correct score

  • 2–17.5%
  • 2–27.1%
  • 1–16.2%
  • 3–16.0%
  • 1–25.9%

Recent form

Slavia Praha U19

  • 2026-10-24T10:15:00.000Z · H vs Opava U19 · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-10-20T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Fenerbahce U19 · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-17T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Mladá Boleslav U19 · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-10-13T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Sabah U19 · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-09T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Slovácko U19 · 4-1 (W)

Zlín U19

  • 2026-08-22T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Teplice U19 · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Sparta Praha U19 · 0-6 (L)
  • 2026-08-12T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Sigma Olomouc U19 · 1-5 (L)
  • 2026-08-08T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Baník Ostrava U19 · 3-4 (L)
  • 2026-06-13T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Baník Ostrava U19 · 0-2 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

1. Liga U19 table

Full league page →

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Slavia Praha U19 win, at 49.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 77% and over 2.5 goals at 80%.

A 50% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.