World · UEFA Champions League Women · Qualifying — Finals18:30

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Saturday, 8 August 2026

Broadwood Stadium · Referee L. Vuorio · Analysis updated 06:56 UTC

Slavia Praha W vs Brøndby W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.60 expected goals for Slavia Praha W and 1.26 for Brøndby W, a combined total of 3.86. That distribution gives Slavia Praha W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 66%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 74% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 66% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Slavia Praha W win

66.3% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

2.60 – 1.26

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Slavia Praha W home form

    15 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Brøndby W away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Slavia Praha W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 66%, against 66% / 17% / 17% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.60 goals for Slavia Praha W and 1.26 for Brøndby W, a combined 3.86 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Slavia Praha W win66%
Draw17%
Brøndby W win17%

Double chance 1X

84%

Double chance 12

83%

Double chance X2

34%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals90%
Over 2.5 goals74%
Over 3.5 goals54%
Both teams to score66%

Correct score

  • 2–19.0%
  • 3–17.8%
  • 2–07.1%
  • 1–16.9%
  • 3–06.2%

Recent form

Slavia Praha W

  • 2026-10-24T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Baník Ostrava W · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-17T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Viktoria Plzeň W · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Prague Raptors W · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-20T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Slovácko W · 9-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-12T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Slovan Liberec W · 4-0 (W)

Brøndby W

  • 2026-10-24T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Midtjylland W · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-20T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Køge W · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Copenhagen W · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-30T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Sporting CP W · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-26T11:00:00.000Z · H vs ASA Aarhus W · 3-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

UEFA Champions League Women table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Barcelona W220096
2Lyon W211084
3Paris Saint Germain W211054
4Bayern Munich W211034
5Arsenal W211014
6Inter Milano W211014
7Chelsea W211014
8Køge W210133
9Juventus W210123
10SL Benfica W2101-23
11Manchester City W202002
12Real Madrid W202002
13Austria Wien W2011-11
14Paris FC W2011-31
15OH Leuven W2011-51
16Roma W2011-61
17Häcken W2002-40
18Servette Chênois W2002-120

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Slavia Praha W win, at 66.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 66% and over 2.5 goals at 74%.

A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.