Bosnia · 1st League - RS · RS - 913:00
SlavijaDLDWD

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Saturday, 3 October 2026

· Analysis updated 21:51 UTC

Slavija vs Famos Vojkovići Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.70 expected goals for Slavija and 1.13 for Famos Vojkovići, a combined total of 2.83. That distribution gives Slavija the largest share of the 1X2 market at 51%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 54% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 51% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Slavija win

50.8% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.70 – 1.13

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Slavija home form

    5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Famos Vojkovići away threat

    Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Slavija to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 51%, against 51% / 24% / 25% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.70 goals for Slavija and 1.13 for Famos Vojkovići, a combined 2.83 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Slavija win51%
Draw24%
Famos Vojkovići win25%

Double chance 1X

75%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

49%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals77%
Over 2.5 goals54%
Over 3.5 goals31%
Both teams to score55%

Correct score

  • 1–111.3%
  • 1–010.1%
  • 2–19.6%
  • 2–08.6%
  • 0–16.7%

Recent form

Slavija

  • 2026-10-24T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Leotar · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-10-21T12:30:00.000Z · A vs FK Romanija Pale · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-17T12:30:00.000Z · H vs FK Majevica Lopare · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-10-09T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Potkozarje · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Famos Vojkovići · 1-1 (D)

Famos Vojkovići

  • 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Slavija · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Velež Nevesinje · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-22T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Leotar · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs FK Romanija Pale · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-16T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Laktaši · 0-2 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

1st League - RS table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Leotar97202123
2Laktaši97111722
3Drina Zvornik94321115
4FK Majevica Lopare9432515
5Kozara Gradiška9432215
6Potkozarje9423014
7FK Romanija Pale9405-812
8Rudar Prijedor9324-311
9Velež Nevesinje9324-911
10Famos Vojkovići9315-410
11Slavija9243-510
12Sutjeska Foča9225-68
13Omarska9126-85
14Zvijezda 099117-134

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Slavija win, at 50.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 54%.

A 51% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.