Slavija vs Rudar Prijedor Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.93 expected goals for Slavija and 1.67 for Rudar Prijedor, a combined total of 3.60. That distribution gives Slavija the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 70% for over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

66.0% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.93 – 1.67

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Slavija home form
5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Rudar Prijedor away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 5 of the last 10 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Slavija win44%

Draw22%

Rudar Prijedor win34%

Double chance 1X

66%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

56%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals87%

Over 2.5 goals70%

Over 3.5 goals49%

Both teams to score69%

Correct score

1–18.8%
2–18.5%
1–27.4%
2–27.1%
3–15.4%

Recent form

Slavija

2026-10-24T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Leotar · 1-1 (D)
2026-10-21T12:30:00.000Z · A vs FK Romanija Pale · 2-1 (W)
2026-10-17T12:30:00.000Z · H vs FK Majevica Lopare · 1-1 (D)
2026-10-09T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Potkozarje · 0-1 (L)
2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Famos Vojkovići · 1-1 (D)

Rudar Prijedor

2026-10-21T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Famos Vojkovići · 2-4 (L)
2026-10-17T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Zvijezda 09 · 1-0 (W)
2026-10-11T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Kozara Gradiška · 2-2 (D)
2026-10-03T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Omarska · 4-1 (W)
2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Laktaši · 0-3 (L)

Head-to-head

2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · Slavija 2-2 Rudar Prijedor (1st League - RS)
2025-05-07T14:30:00.000Z · Slavija 0-2 Rudar Prijedor (1st League - RS)
2024-10-18T12:30:00.000Z · Slavija 0-1 Rudar Prijedor (1st League - RS)
2024-03-27T14:00:00.000Z · Slavija 1-1 Rudar Prijedor (1st League - RS)
2023-09-09T14:30:00.000Z · Slavija 0-1 Rudar Prijedor (1st League - RS)
2023-04-26T14:30:00.000Z · Slavija 0-3 Rudar Prijedor (1st League - RS)
2022-10-01T13:30:00.000Z · Slavija 3-2 Rudar Prijedor (1st League - RS)
2021-05-22T15:00:00.000Z · Slavija 3-4 Rudar Prijedor (1st League - RS)
2020-11-07T12:30:00.000Z · Slavija 0-0 Rudar Prijedor (1st League - RS)
2019-10-19T12:30:00.000Z · Slavija 1-2 Rudar Prijedor (1st League - RS)

1st League - RS table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Leotar	13	10	3	0	26	33
2	Laktaši	13	10	1	2	29	31
3	Drina Zvornik	13	6	3	4	14	21
4	Potkozarje	13	6	2	5	1	20
5	FK Majevica Lopare	12	5	4	3	6	19
6	Kozara Gradiška	13	5	4	4	1	19
7	Rudar Prijedor	13	5	3	5	-3	18
8	FK Romanija Pale	13	6	0	7	-6	18
9	Famos Vojkovići	13	5	2	6	-5	17
10	Slavija	13	3	6	4	-5	15
11	Sutjeska Foča	12	3	2	7	-9	11
12	Velež Nevesinje	13	3	2	8	-23	11
13	Omarska	13	2	4	7	-11	10
14	Zvijezda 09	13	2	2	9	-15	8

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 66.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 69% and over 2.5 goals at 70%.

A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.