· Analysis updated 05:03 UTC
Slavoj Český Krumlov vs Králův Dvůr Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.04 expected goals for Slavoj Český Krumlov and 1.99 for Králův Dvůr, a combined total of 4.03. That distribution gives Slavoj Český Krumlov the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 77% for over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
61.4% probability
Expected goals
2.04 – 1.99
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Slavoj Český Krumlov home form
3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Králův Dvůr away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Slavoj Český Krumlov to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 41% / 21% / 39% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.04 goals for Slavoj Český Krumlov and 1.99 for Králův Dvůr, a combined 4.03 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
61%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
59%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–17.4%
- 2–27.3%
- 1–17.2%
- 1–27.2%
- 3–15.0%
Recent form
Slavoj Český Krumlov
- 2026-09-27T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Strakonice · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-19T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Spartak Pribram · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-12T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Nyrsko · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-05T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Křimice · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-08-29T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Doubravka · 2-3 (L)
Králův Dvůr
- 2026-10-24T12:30:00.000Z · H vs České Budějovice · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-10-17T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Slavia III · 4-3 (W)
- 2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Motorlet Praha · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-26T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Loko Vltavín · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-19T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Povltava FA · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 61.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 75% and over 2.5 goals at 77%.
A 61% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.