Mikulase z Husi · Analysis updated 20:24 UTC
Slavoj Vyšehrad vs Chomutov Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.21 expected goals for Slavoj Vyšehrad and 2.55 for Chomutov, a combined total of 3.76. That distribution gives Chomutov the largest share of the 1X2 market at 66%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 72% for over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 66% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Chomutov win
66.4% probability
Expected goals
1.21 – 2.55
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Slavoj Vyšehrad home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Chomutov away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Chomutov to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 66%, against 16% / 17% / 66% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.21 goals for Slavoj Vyšehrad and 2.55 for Chomutov, a combined 3.76 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
34%
Double chance 12
83%
Double chance X2
84%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–29.2%
- 1–37.8%
- 0–27.6%
- 1–17.2%
- 0–36.4%
Recent form
Slavoj Vyšehrad
- 2026-10-03T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Brandýs nad Labem · 2-5 (L)
- 2026-09-25T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Sokol Hostouň · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-19T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Tempo Praha · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-12T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Ostrov · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-05T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Karlovy Vary · 4-3 (W)
Chomutov
- 2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Ostrov · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-25T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Karlovy Vary · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-19T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Hvězda Cheb · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-12T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Slaný · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-05T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Štětí · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
4. liga - Divizie B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chomutov | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 28 |
| 2 | Sokol Hostouň | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 25 |
| 3 | Újezd Praha 4 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 24 |
| 4 | Rapid Psáry | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 23 |
| 5 | Slaný | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 18 |
| 6 | Baník Sokolov | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 18 |
| 7 | Brandýs nad Labem | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 18 |
| 8 | Štětí | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 18 |
| 9 | Karlovy Vary | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 17 |
| 10 | Tempo Praha | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 17 |
| 11 | Meteor Praha | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | -2 | 16 |
| 12 | Slovan Velvary | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 14 |
| 13 | Hvězda Cheb | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -14 | 10 |
| 14 | Slavoj Vyšehrad | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -14 | 10 |
| 15 | Ostrov | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -17 | 10 |
| 16 | Ústí nad Labem II | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -21 | 9 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Chomutov win, at 66.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 65% and over 2.5 goals at 72%.
A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.