· Analysis updated 08:04 UTC
Slavonija Požega vs Moslavina Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.18 expected goals for Slavonija Požega and 1.18 for Moslavina, a combined total of 3.36. That distribution gives Slavonija Požega the largest share of the 1X2 market at 60%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 65% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 60% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Slavonija Požega win
60.2% probability
Expected goals
2.18 – 1.18
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Slavonija Požega home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Moslavina away threat
Scored in 1 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Slavonija Požega to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 60%, against 60% / 20% / 20% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.18 goals for Slavonija Požega and 1.18 for Moslavina, a combined 3.36 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
80%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
40%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.7%
- 1–18.9%
- 2–08.2%
- 1–07.6%
- 3–17.1%
Recent form
Slavonija Požega
- 2026-10-10T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Zagora · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-03T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Lucko · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-25T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Uljanik · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Solin · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-12T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Hrvatski Dragovoljac · 0-1 (L)
Moslavina
- 2026-08-26T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Slavonija Požega · 0-3 (L)
- 2025-08-27T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Varteks Varaždin · 0-3 (L)
- 2024-08-28T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Zrinski Jurjevac · 0-4 (L)
- 2023-09-20T13:30:00.000Z · H vs NK Slaven Belupo · 2-4 (L)
- 2023-08-30T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Jalžabet · 3-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Slavonija Požega win, at 60.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 65%.
A 60% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.