Sloboda Tuzla vs Igman Konjic Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.37 expected goals for Sloboda Tuzla and 0.82 for Igman Konjic, a combined total of 2.19. That distribution gives Sloboda Tuzla the largest share of the 1X2 market at 50%, with the draw at 28%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 38% for over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 15%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 50% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Sloboda Tuzla win

49.6% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.37 – 0.82

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Sloboda Tuzla home form
15 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Igman Konjic away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Sloboda Tuzla to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 50%, against 50% / 28% / 23% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.37 goals for Sloboda Tuzla and 0.82 for Igman Konjic, a combined 2.19 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

Sloboda Tuzla win50%

Draw28%

Igman Konjic win23%

Double chance 1X

77%

Double chance 12

72%

Double chance X2

50%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals64%

Over 2.5 goals38%

Over 3.5 goals18%

Both teams to score42%

Correct score

1–015.3%
1–112.6%
0–011.2%
2–010.4%
0–19.2%

Recent form

Sloboda Tuzla

2026-10-24T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Stupčanica Olovo · 1-0 (W)
2026-10-17T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Jedinstvo Bihać · 0-0 (D)
2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Travnik · 2-0 (W)
2026-10-03T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Posušje · 0-2 (L)
2026-09-27T16:00:00.000Z · A vs GOŠK Gabela · 2-0 (W)

Igman Konjic

2026-09-27T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Tomislav · 2-2 (D)
2026-09-19T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Vitez · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Rudar Kakanj · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-05T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Čapljina · 4-0 (W)
2026-08-29T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Posušje · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

1st League - FBiH table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Posušje	11	8	3	0	10	27
2	Travnik	11	8	1	2	12	25
3	Sloboda Tuzla	11	6	3	2	10	21
4	Stupčanica Olovo	11	6	2	3	13	20
5	Igman Konjic	11	5	4	2	4	19
6	GOŠK Gabela	10	5	2	3	5	17
7	Bratstvo Gračanica	10	3	5	2	0	14
8	TOŠK Tešanj	10	4	2	4	0	14
9	Jedinstvo Bihać	11	3	4	4	1	13
10	Vitez	11	3	3	5	-5	12
11	Zvijezda Gradačac	11	3	2	6	1	11
12	Radnik Hadžići	11	3	1	7	-6	10
13	Budućnost Banovići	11	2	4	5	-9	10
14	Rudar Kakanj	10	2	2	6	-8	8
15	Čapljina	11	2	2	7	-13	8
16	Tomislav	11	2	2	7	-15	8

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Sloboda Tuzla win, at 49.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 42% and over 2.5 goals at 38%.

A 50% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.