· Analysis updated 06:56 UTC
Slough Town vs Chatham Town Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.11 expected goals for Slough Town and 1.72 for Chatham Town, a combined total of 2.83. That distribution gives Chatham Town the largest share of the 1X2 market at 52%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 54% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 52% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Chatham Town win
51.6% probability
Expected goals
1.11 – 1.72
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Slough Town home form
1 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Chatham Town away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Chatham Town to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 52%, against 25% / 24% / 52% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.11 goals for Slough Town and 1.72 for Chatham Town, a combined 2.83 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
49%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
76%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.3%
- 0–110.2%
- 1–29.7%
- 0–28.7%
- 1–06.6%
Recent form
Slough Town
- 2026-10-24T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Dorking Wanderers · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-10-17T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Horsham · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Torquay · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-09-29T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Ebbsfleet United · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Hemel Hempstead Town · 0-2 (L)
Chatham Town
- 2026-10-24T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Welling United · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-10-20T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Dulwich Hamlet · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-10-17T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Aveley · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Brentwood Town · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-10-06T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Leatherhead · 3-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Chatham Town win, at 51.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 54%.
A 52% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.