Czech-Republic · 1. Liga U19 · Matchweek 1109:00

0 – 1

Saturday, 17 October 2026

· Analysis updated 16:47 UTC

Slovácko U19 vs Sigma Olomouc U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.26 expected goals for Slovácko U19 and 2.92 for Sigma Olomouc U19, a combined total of 5.18. That distribution gives Sigma Olomouc U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 52%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 89% for over 2.5 goals and 84% for both teams to score, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 6%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 52% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Sigma Olomouc U19 win

52.3% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

2.26 – 2.92

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Sigma Olomouc U19 away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Sigma Olomouc U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 52%, against 30% / 17% / 52% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.26 goals for Slovácko U19 and 2.92 for Sigma Olomouc U19, a combined 5.18 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 89% and both teams to score at 84%, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 6%.

Match result (1X2)

Slovácko U19 win30%
Draw17%
Sigma Olomouc U19 win52%

Double chance 1X

48%

Double chance 12

83%

Double chance X2

70%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals96%
Over 2.5 goals89%
Over 3.5 goals76%
Both teams to score84%

Correct score

  • 2–26.1%
  • 2–36.0%
  • 1–25.4%
  • 1–35.3%
  • 3–24.6%

Recent form

Slovácko U19

    Sigma Olomouc U19

    • 2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Dukla Praha U19 · 4-0 (W)
    • 2026-09-12T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Karviná U19 · 2-0 (W)
    • 2026-09-05T11:00:00.000Z · A vs České Budějovice U19 · 2-7 (L)
    • 2026-09-01T10:30:00.000Z · H vs Sparta Praha U19 · 5-3 (W)
    • 2026-08-29T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Viktoria Plzeň U19 · 0-3 (L)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    1. Liga U19 table

    Full league page →

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Sigma Olomouc U19 win, at 52.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–2.

    It puts both teams scoring at 84% and over 2.5 goals at 89%.

    A 52% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.