Czech-Republic · 1. Liga Women · Matchweek 609:00
Slovácko WWWWLL

0 – 9

Sunday, 20 September 2026

Stadion Na Belince · Analysis updated 06:59 UTC

Slovácko W vs Slavia Praha W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.58 expected goals for Slovácko W and 4.09 for Slavia Praha W, a combined total of 4.67. That distribution gives Slavia Praha W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 93%, with the draw at 5%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 82% for over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score, with 0–4 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 93% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Slavia Praha W win

93.1% probability

High confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

0.58 – 4.09

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Slovácko W home form

    1 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Slavia Praha W away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Slavia Praha W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 93%, against 2% / 5% / 93% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 0.58 goals for Slovácko W and 4.09 for Slavia Praha W, a combined 4.67 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Slovácko W win2%
Draw5%
Slavia Praha W win93%

Double chance 1X

7%

Double chance 12

95%

Double chance X2

98%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals92%
Over 2.5 goals82%
Over 3.5 goals66%
Both teams to score42%

Correct score

  • 0–410.9%
  • 0–310.7%
  • 0–59.0%
  • 0–27.8%
  • 1–46.3%

Recent form

Slovácko W

  • 2026-10-17T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Baník Ostrava W · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Viktoria Plzeň W · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-20T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Slavia Praha W · 0-9 (L)
  • 2026-09-13T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Prague Raptors W · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-06T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Slovan Liberec W · 0-5 (L)

Slavia Praha W

  • 2026-10-24T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Baník Ostrava W · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-17T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Viktoria Plzeň W · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Prague Raptors W · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-20T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Slovácko W · 9-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-12T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Slovan Liberec W · 4-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

1. Liga Women table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Slavia Praha W99004527
2Sparta Praha W97022321
3Slovan Liberec W8503315
4Slovácko W9414-1113
5Viktoria Plzeň W9405-1012
6Prague Raptors W8404-312
7Baník Ostrava W9117-184
8Horní Heršpice W9009-290

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Slavia Praha W win, at 93.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–4.

It puts both teams scoring at 42% and over 2.5 goals at 82%.

A 93% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.