· Analysis updated 16:01 UTC
Slovácko W vs Slovan Liberec W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.12 expected goals for Slovácko W and 2.63 for Slovan Liberec W, a combined total of 3.75. That distribution gives Slovan Liberec W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 70%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 72% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 70% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Slovan Liberec W win
69.5% probability
Expected goals
1.12 – 2.63
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Slovácko W home form
1 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Slovan Liberec W away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Slovan Liberec W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 70%, against 14% / 17% / 70% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.12 goals for Slovácko W and 2.63 for Slovan Liberec W, a combined 3.75 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
31%
Double chance 12
84%
Double chance X2
86%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–29.1%
- 0–28.1%
- 1–38.0%
- 0–37.1%
- 1–16.9%
Recent form
Slovácko W
- 2026-08-29T10:45:00.000Z · H vs Sparta Praha W · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-08-22T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Horní Heršpice W · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-16T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Baník Ostrava W · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-05-24T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Sparta Praha W · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-05-17T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Slovan Liberec W · 2-4 (L)
Slovan Liberec W
- 2026-09-30T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Rosenborg W · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-26T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Baník Ostrava W · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-23T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Rosenborg W · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Viktoria Plzeň W · 5-1 (W)
- 2026-09-12T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Slavia Praha W · 0-4 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
1. Liga Women table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slavia Praha W | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 21 |
| 2 | Sparta Praha W | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 15 |
| 3 | Slovan Liberec W | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 12 |
| 4 | Prague Raptors W | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 |
| 5 | Viktoria Plzeň W | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -10 | 9 |
| 6 | Slovácko W | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -16 | 7 |
| 7 | Baník Ostrava W | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -12 | 4 |
| 8 | Horní Heršpice W | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -25 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Slovan Liberec W win, at 69.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 72%.
A 70% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.