· Referee B. Marhefka · Analysis updated 10:06 UTC
Slovan Bratislava vs Zemplín Michalovce Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.68 expected goals for Slovan Bratislava and 0.45 for Zemplín Michalovce, a combined total of 3.13. That distribution gives Slovan Bratislava the largest share of the 1X2 market at 84%, with the draw at 12%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 60% for over 2.5 goals and 34% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 16%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 84% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Slovan Bratislava win
84.3% probability
Expected goals
2.68 – 0.45
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Slovan Bratislava home form
2 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.
Zemplín Michalovce away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 7 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
96%
Double chance 12
89%
Double chance X2
16%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–015.7%
- 3–014.0%
- 1–011.8%
- 4–09.4%
- 2–17.1%
Recent form
Slovan Bratislava
- 2026-10-24T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Dukla Banská Bystrica · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-20T19:00:00.000Z · A vs AS Roma · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-10-17T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Spartak Trnava · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-10-14T19:00:00.000Z · H vs VfB Stuttgart · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-10-10T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Skalica · 1-1 (D)
Zemplín Michalovce
- 2026-10-18T13:30:00.000Z · H vs FK Košice · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-13T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-10-10T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Dunajska Streda · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-10-02T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Nyiregyhaza · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-19T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Dukla Banská Bystrica · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-30T15:00:00.000Z · Slovan Bratislava 1-2 Zemplín Michalovce (Super Liga)
- 2026-05-16T15:00:00.000Z · Slovan Bratislava 0-2 Zemplín Michalovce (Super Liga)
- 2026-03-07T14:30:00.000Z · Slovan Bratislava 3-1 Zemplín Michalovce (Super Liga)
- 2025-11-30T14:30:00.000Z · Slovan Bratislava 3-2 Zemplín Michalovce (Super Liga)
- 2025-08-24T17:00:00.000Z · Slovan Bratislava 1-1 Zemplín Michalovce (Super Liga)
- 2025-02-15T15:00:00.000Z · Slovan Bratislava 1-1 Zemplín Michalovce (Super Liga)
- 2024-09-27T18:00:00.000Z · Slovan Bratislava 4-2 Zemplín Michalovce (Super Liga)
- 2023-11-25T14:00:00.000Z · Slovan Bratislava 2-0 Zemplín Michalovce (Super Liga)
- 2023-11-01T14:00:00.000Z · Slovan Bratislava 5-1 Zemplín Michalovce (Super Liga)
- 2022-10-16T17:00:00.000Z · Slovan Bratislava 1-0 Zemplín Michalovce (Super Liga)
Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dunajska Streda | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 29 | 29 |
| 2 | Spartak Trnava | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 22 |
| 3 | Slovan Bratislava | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 21 |
| 4 | Žilina | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 21 |
| 5 | Podbrezová | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 17 |
| 6 | FK Košice | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14 |
| 7 | Zemplín Michalovce | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 14 |
| 8 | Dukla Banská Bystrica | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 14 |
| 9 | Skalica | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -10 | 10 |
| 10 | Ružomberok | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -14 | 9 |
| 11 | AS Trencin | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -9 | 8 |
| 12 | Komárno | 11 | 0 | 6 | 5 | -7 | 6 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Slovan Bratislava win, at 84.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 34% and over 2.5 goals at 60%.
A 84% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.