· Analysis updated 17:34 UTC
Slovan Bratislava W vs Petržalka W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 4.50 expected goals for Slovan Bratislava W and 0.48 for Petržalka W, a combined total of 4.98. That distribution gives Slovan Bratislava W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 96%, with the draw at 3%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 83% for over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score, with 4–0 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 96% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Slovan Bratislava W win
95.7% probability
Expected goals
4.50 – 0.48
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Slovan Bratislava W home form
15 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Slovan Bratislava W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 96%, against 96% / 3% / 1% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 4.50 goals for Slovan Bratislava W and 0.48 for Petržalka W, a combined 4.98 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 83% and both teams to score at 36%, with 4–0 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
99%
Double chance 12
97%
Double chance X2
4%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 4–011.8%
- 5–010.6%
- 3–010.5%
- 6–08.0%
- 2–07.0%
Recent form
Slovan Bratislava W
- 2026-10-18T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Spartak Trnava W · 5-2 (W)
- 2026-10-03T13:45:00.000Z · H vs Trenčín W · 8-0 (W)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Komárno W · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Ružomberok W · 7-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Petržalka W · 6-1 (W)
Petržalka W
- 2026-10-03T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Ružomberok W · 2-5 (L)
- 2026-09-26T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Dukla Banská Bystrica W · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-19T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Tatran Prešov W · 0-7 (L)
- 2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Slovan Bratislava W · 1-6 (L)
- 2026-09-05T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Spartak Myjava W · 1-11 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
I Liga - Women table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spartak Myjava W | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 60 | 30 |
| 2 | Slovan Bratislava W | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 27 |
| 3 | Trenčín W | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Z. Moravce-Vrable W | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 15 |
| 5 | Komárno W | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -8 | 14 |
| 6 | Tatran Prešov W | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 13 |
| 7 | Spartak Trnava W | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -14 | 13 |
| 8 | Ružomberok W | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | -16 | 9 |
| 9 | Dukla Banská Bystrica W | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | -28 | 4 |
| 10 | Petržalka W | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | -36 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Slovan Bratislava W win, at 95.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 4–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 36% and over 2.5 goals at 83%.
A 96% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.